Do not miss reading this paper. It is free to download. Figure 5 on page 7 demonstrates the prevention benefit of greatly increased access to treatment in the Canadian province of British Columbia. It has a population of over 4.5 million.
http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0087872
There is a modest decrease in HIV incidence over the past decade, less than a hundred incident infections a year. If this is the best that TasP can do in a real rich world setting then we should continue to consider access to treatment as a human right rather than a prevention miracle.
Jamie




